← [TCG] Grand Archive Online League NA Weekly 2/12/2026
Water Crux MageTier 2
at [TCG] Grand Archive Online League NA Weekly 2/12/2026
decks
1
(3.0% of field)
matches (non-mirror)
4
1-3-0
overall winrate
25.0%
ELO-adjusted winrate
48.4%
avg ELO -1.0 per match
expected value
44.0%
share-weighted (raw)
EV (ELO-adj)
49.3%
share-weighted (skill-controlled)
Pilot Skill · average
mean ELO 1304
· median 1304
· range 1304–1304
(1 pilot with an ELO rating)
1029
Q1 1211
Q3 1439
1563
0% of pilots are in the field's top quartile,
0% in the bottom.
Head-to-Head Matchups
Winrates vs every other archetype, sorted by the opponent's field share. Mirrors excluded. Shrunk WR uses a Beta(2, 2) prior so a 1-0 cell doesn't read as 100%; it feeds the EV calc above. Adj WR is the skill-controlled view: derived from per-match ELO deltas (0.5 + avg ELO Δ / K=32, same shrinkage), so it tells you what would have happened on equal-rating play. A faded Raw WR means under 10 matches — lean on the Shrunk WR column there.
| Opponent | Their share | Matches | W-L-D | Raw WR | Shrunk WR | Adj WR | ELO Δ/match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wind Shadowstrike | 12.1% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Seiryuu | 9.1% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Umbra Guardian | 6.1% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Fractal | 6.1% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 49.3% | -1.1 |
| Fire Crux Lorraine | 3.0% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Crux Mage | 3.0% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Diao Chan | 3.0% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Luxem Assassin | 3.0% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Oblation | 3.0% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Suited | 3.0% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Umbra Ranger | 3.0% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Aetherwing | 3.0% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Allies | 3.0% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 49.1% | -1.5 |
| Water Astra Cleric | 3.0% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Crux Assassin | 3.0% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Crux Lorraine | 3.0% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Genbu | 3.0% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Ravishing Mill | 3.0% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 49.1% | -1.5 |
| Water Umbra Alice | 3.0% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Allies | 3.0% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Crux Lorraine | 3.0% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Exia | 3.0% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Lorraine | 3.0% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Overlord | 3.0% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 50.0% | +0.0 |
| Wind Slice & Dice | 3.0% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Umbra Guardian | 3.0% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Wakeup Combo | 3.0% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
Decklists · 1 from this event
The 1 public Water Crux Mage decklist from this event, ordered by final placement — click a pilot for the full list.
